Quantitative & Falsifiable

Predictions of the Selective Transient Field

All predictions below derive from a single scalar field equation with no fitted parameters and, from the Theory Edition (V9.7.2), one free scale. No value has been adjusted since first publication; statuses are updated as the record changes.

12Active entries · 1 withdrawn
0Fitted Parameters
5Numerical matches
1Theorem
2Conditional
1Empirical target
3Pending

Master Prediction Registry

#DomainPredictionValueStatusPaper
1Flyby anomalyK = 2ωR/c3.099×10−6◆ Empirical target — mechanism withdrawn; measurement theoremThe Flyby Anomaly as a Measurement V1.0
2Galaxy rotationa0 = cH0/(2π)1.16×10−10 m/s²○ Conditional target — three undischarged clauses; the 2π has no derivationFirst Principles V7.9
3Activation timingknee at τc = ℏ/(msc²); τonset ∝ ℳc13/5−8/5symbolic (ms free)○ Conditional — stated as functions of the free scale: any memory-driven activation distribution steepens by one power at τc and does not peak; the source clock scales as the 13/5 power of the chirp mass at fixed rigidity. The earlier entry — the 730 RS separation and the 3.32-yr period as a three-path convergence with the observational anchors — is recorded on the observational track; the First Principles paper takes no input from itFirst Principles V9.7.2 §III.B, §VI.A
4Multi-messenger timing⊘ Withdrawn — the 3.32-yr association anchor and the 730 RS separation were removed from the theory in the V9.6.1 → V9.7 purge and folded into entry 3, which now states the activation law as a function of the free scale. Entry numbers are stable identifiers and are not reused.Purge Map
5Dark energy densityΩSTF0.65 ± 0.10✓ Numerical match — not a predictionEnergy V0.5
6Electron massme from 10D9.05×10−31 kg✓ Numerical match — not a predictionFirst Principles V7.9 App. K
7Proton massmp from 10D1.676×10−27 kg✓ Numerical match — not a predictionFirst Principles V7.9 App. K
8Baryon asymmetryηb6.10×10−10✓ Numerical match — not a predictionFirst Principles V7.9 App. K
9Jarlskog invariantJ from CY geometry3.18×10−5✓ Numerical match — not a predictionFirst Principles V7.9 App. S
10Dark energy EoSw = −1 exactlyHeavy scalar theorem✓ TheoremDark Energy V0.1 (T² nodal structure)
11Tensor-to-scalar ratior = 0.003–0.005⏳ Pending (LiteBIRD)Cosmology V5.6
12GW phase deviationδΦ ∝ f6⏳ Pending (LISA)First Principles V7.9
13Venus flyby signKVenus < 0Measurement-account expectation (utilization-dependent)⏳ PendingThe Flyby Anomaly as a Measurement V1.0

Four-Level Falsification Hierarchy

LevelDomainIf Wrong…
0: GR FoundationPeters formula, orbital mechanicsGR itself wrong (not STF)
1: Core DerivationCurvature-rate coupling, ms, 𝒟crit, ghost-freedom (regime-limited)Core derivation wrong, GR survives
2: Flyby MeasurementK = 2ωR/c, utilization, link-mode dependenceMeasurement account fails, core survives
3: Extensionsr, Ω, a0, SM constantsThat extension fails, Levels 0–2 survive

What “no fitted parameters” means

A prediction on this page is produced by a calculation that does not use the observation it is compared with, and whose inputs are the compactification data, General Relativity, and previously derived framework quantities — nothing in the calculation is tuned to the target. That is a property of each calculation, not of the whole theory: the framework also contains structural choices, conditional UV inputs, and open normalizations, stated per claim. Two in particular are open as of September 2026: the threshold’s SI normalization (the natural-unit 𝒟crit evaluates to 0.76 m−2s−1, not the 10−27 m−2s−1 it was formerly matched to — the bridge is an open item, First Principles V8.1 Appendix Q), and the identification of the compactification scale with the response-capacity radius (the saturation theorem, Appendix D). A third is structural rather than open: from the Theory Edition (V9.7.2) the scalar mass ms is carried as a free scale, so predictions that depend on its value are stated as functions of it. Predictions conditional on these carry the label conditional; predictions whose calculation is closed carry derived or numerical. “No fitted parameters in the complete theory” is not claimed.